07.24.08
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Deena & Doug Willis

Serving the Pasadena Community

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Pasadena Median Prices

real-time real estate market research

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$667,500 is the median price of a single family home in Pasadena

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1340 Rexford, $774,000
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Doug Willis

Pricing Your Home to Sell, an Artful Science

Pricing your Pasadena home correctly is the critical first step to a successful transaction. Last week I provided solid evidence in a post regarding the Pasadena Real Estate Secret, that if you price your home properly you will (1) sell it in much less time and (2) maximize the value, by selling it for more money, plus reducing your ongoing out of pocket expenses.

Pricing a property correctly can cause much consternation between salespeople and homeowners. Most homeowners who are considering the sale of a home have made themselves aware of their competition by visiting open houses and collecting “for sale” flyers. However they may not have the latest information on what has actually sold, since this data is not as readily available. Since homes listed for sale tend to represent the high end of the market, comparisons may be made based upon incorrect information.

Determining the Proper Price

So many times I have heard that the property down the street sold for “x” amount, therefore my house should be worth “y”. Many times the owner is comparing only price for price and has failed to factor in the differences in square footage, lot size, beds/baths and amenities the comparable home featured.

To simplify the comparison, I developed the following spreadsheet and chart to visually display the differences and better explain why one home may be comparable in bed/bath’s and square footage, but may sell for a much different price. The following homes have sold within the past 70 days in Northeast Pasadena:

Pricing is key

I have represented each house that has sold with a numbered icon to display the value. When a home moves up the price scale, it will also move to the right indicating more features and amenities. This is effective because you are looking at houses in the same neighborhood so there is less variance based upon location and also when you are comparing it to properties within 10% of a square footage variance.

Value = Price + Perceived Benefit

Today’s home buyer is very discerning. They know they do not have much competition so they can afford to be patient and hope to get the best value for their dollar. After looking at 8-10 houses during the course of an afternoon, you begin to get a good idea of how homes are priced. Selling your home is similar to a job interview, price it correctly and you have made a great first impression and may very well get the best home buyer candidate. If your price is deemed uncompetitive, you may find it sitting on the market. Since you read up2daterealestate, you know the longer it sits, the more you loose.

If you’re considering the sale of your property and would like a market analysis, give me a call or send me an email. I will be glad to provide you with a detailed analysis of your market area!

Pasadena Value

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Doug Willis

Pasadena California Housing Market Update

Attempting to define the Pasadena real estate market is akin to watching air run through a clear tube. You know its moving, you just can’t see it. I think that is what we are experiencing right now with Pasadena home sales. Conversations with other brokers and escrow agents indicate that there could be a small level of increased activity taking place. Call volume has picked up and it is usually a good indicator of the current market situation, in other words are potential home buyers inquiring about homes listed for sale?

However we look at the empirical data, one of the things we are attempting to identify are trends. Trends such as; are things beginning to improve, are the new increased loan limits now beginning to have an effect, are buyers beginning to return to the market?

Looking at the current housing market barometers, there is very little change with respect to (1) days on market (2) current inventory and (3) median price:

Days on Market

daysonmkt.jpg

The days on market took a significant dip about 4-6 weeks ago, this could be the result of some properties that have been on the market for many days and have expired and are now no longer for sale. The fact that this has ticked up again indicates no real significance or change.

Inventory

Inventory

Inventory is still high compared to last year but has been declining as of late. I don’t believe this is attributable to a sales increase, rather I believe it was due to many homes being expired or canceled. The recent rise in inventory seems to indicate this. Single family inventory has been centered around 500 units:

  1. week ending 3/28, 497 units for sale
  2. week ending 4/18, 511 units for sale
  3. week ending 5/2, 492 units for sale

Median Price

Median Price

Prices still appear to be falling. Once the market begins to pick up this line will begin to flatten as many of these indicators will move in unison. Days on market will begin to fall and inventory will begin to decrease. But until we see that begin to happen, we will take any little bit of good news the market will allow.

Look for the April recap of the Pasadena real estate market within the next couple of days. We will see if the April results show any improvement.
Graphs courtesy of Altos Research, Copyright 2007

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Doug Willis

Pasadena Cancels All Homes Listed “For Sale”, Lack of Interest Cited

In a surprise move the City of Pasadena announced today that it was canceling all of the homes listed “for sale” due to a lack of interest. Homeowner’s were instructed to remove all “for sale” signs on the property. Sales of single family homes have declined 50% for the last three months and the decision was made today before things could get any worse. One city official who ask to remain anonymous said that “if we can tell homeowners they cannot cut down their trees, we also believe we can put a stop to homes being listed “for sale”. We do not want values to decline any further, and this will protect other property owners who are not trying to sell”.

The above is only a tongue in cheek analogy of the current real estate market in Pasadena. Any reference to people or events is purely fictional.

February Home Sales

Were the problems in the housing market a window to the economy? When the housing market on the east and west coast began to contract, was the middle squeezed so hard that a recession was looming? According to the just released UCLA Anderson Forecast, a recession is not on the horizon. Rest easy Pasadena and California. Be assured with home prices falling, foreclosures rising, and no end in sight for the price of a barrel of oil, there will not be a recession. Glad we now have that settled. Academia has spoken.

2008 is off to a Slow Start

The part in the introductory paragraph about the rate of sales is correct. We have witnessed approximately a 50% decline in single family unit sales for the last three months. Not the kind of start we hoping for.

up2date real estate graph

Single Family Homes Decline

The rate of decrease in the median price of a single family home was quite noticeable compared to months past. Call it a monthly trifecta. With a price decline of roughly 8%, a 50% drop in units and an increase in time of 35% to sell those fewer units, February was, somewhat expected if not predictable.

up2date single family

Townhomes & Condominiums

February also put a stop to the rising median price of a townhome and condominium. Buoyoed by the recent new construction, this segment of the market also felt the effects of a slowing market and overall uneasiness in the economy. Mirroring the single family category, sales declined close to 50% and also the median price dropped 5.3%.

up2date condo

What’s Next?

It will be at least May before we begin to see if the recently enacted increases in the conforming loan rates make any difference in the housing market and more importantly Pasadena real estate. Until then we will just have to be patient and hopeful that a return to normalcy will occur. At least we don’t have to worry about a recession.

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Doug Willis

The Real Estate Euphemism, All Puffed Up With No Place To Go

When I search Pasadena homes for sale, I can come across some real doozies. Not just in the actual properties, but in how real estate is listed and sold. Many real estate agent’s will use, fanciful, descriptive and yes, even deceitful information in an attempt to sell their properties which are listed for sale. With so many houses available today, agents are looking for that unique phrase that will catch people’s attention, become memorable and hopefully create an interest where a potential buyer will want to take a look at the house that is for sale. Puffing is a term used to describe an exaggerated listing usually indicating the description of a property is much, much nicer that the property itself. Yesterday, I came across the blue ribbon winner for 2007. The description stated:

Beautiful triplex featuring a classic craftsman with 3 beds and 2 baths in the front. Two cozy 1 bed, 1 bath units in the back. All of the units need some TLC, but have great potential. Perfect for the owner who wants to live in the front and rent the two units in the back for extra income

Use Ugly To Your Advantage

Rather than trying to paint an idyllic picture of this property, the agent should have gone ugly early. Ugly Sells! It indicates a distressed property that could be picked up at below market. Instead people go over to the house expecting one thing and being extremely disappointed. The lady I showed the house to commented “I have been looking at property for 30 years and I have never seen anything like this”. It was awful.

The description which would have been more indicative of the condition should have read:

Craftsman property in need of re-crafting. Bring your Bio-Hazard suit. Enter at your own risk and be careful you do not twist an ankle on the buckled and termite infested wood floors. If skid row is your ideal of cozy, then you will adore the units in the back. Be careful of the pit bull (Named Killer) in the back. He is usually chained.

Now, if this were the description, then potential buyers would be very impressed because their expectations have been set so low that there was no where to go but up. It lets them know that the term “fixer” is far to mild for the condition and this is not for the faint of heart. Sometimes all you have is all you have and no matter what flowered description you put on it, it just won’t help.

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©2007-2008 Doug & Deena Willis